Mr. Keynes meets the Classics: Government Spending and the Real Exchange Rate

In economies with fixed exchange rates, the adjustment to government spending shocks is asymmetric. A fiscal expansion appreciates the real exchange rate but does not stimulate output. A fiscal contraction does not alter the exchange rate, but lowers output. We develop these insights in a two-sector model of a small open economy with downward nominal wage rigidity. We establish new empirical evidence that supports the predictions of the model along several dimensions: not only does the exchange rate regime shape the fiscal transmission mechanism as predicted by the model—in doing so it also interacts with economic slack and inflation.

Date and time: 
Thursday 16 December 2021, 16:30 - 18:00
Organisation: 
National Bank of Belgium, KU Leuven, UAntwerpen, UCLouvain, UGent, ULB, ULiège, UNamur and VUB
Speaker(s): 
Johannes Pfeifer
Venue: 
National Bank of Belgium (Conference room 1), boulevard de Berlaimontlaan 14, Brussels / Microsoft Teams meeting
Entrance fee: 
free